Impact of Climate Change on the Evolution of the Po Delta Plain. Framework for the Definition of Boundary Conditions
Impact of Climate Change on the Evolution of the Po Delta Plain. Framework for the Definition of Boundary ConditionsM. Capobianco1, G. Abrami2, and P. Ruol3
1 R&D, Environment Technomare SpA, San Marco, Venezia,
Italy
2 Instituto Universitario di Architettura di Venezia
, DSTR, Tolentini, Venezia, Italy
3 University of Padova, Instituto di Costruzioni Marittime,
Padova, Italy
Abstract
We briefly describe the main characters of the Po
Delta and recall the main aspects of its morphological
evolution. Then the paper presents the reference schemes
that are being used to define scenarios for both the
environmental forcings and the possible changes in
land use and socioeconomic conditions for the Po Delta
area and having in mind both the definition of the
medium and long term trends and changes in extremes.
Boundary conditions refers to modelling, and in
particular to the needs to be satisfied by models that
will be used in the framework of the MEDDELT project
in order to quantitatively evaluate physical and ecological
processes and qualitatively assess the role of anthropogenic
factors.
The resulting framework hereby introduced allows
for the definition of the boundary conditions and/or
inputs which are needed for the computation of indicators
and for the subsequent utilization of balance models
which will be used to evaluate the deltaic behavior
under the proposed scenarios.
The paper has the character of a discussion document
and presents reference considerations and preliminary
evaluations that, as such, are subject to change and
adaptation.