BUDGET MODELS FOR THE EVOLUTION OF DELTAS DEFINITION OF PROCESSES AND SCALES
BUDGET MODELS FOR THE EVOLUTION OF DELTAS DEFINITION OF PROCESSES AND SCALESMichele Capobianco
R&D, Environment, Tecnomare SpA, San Marco 3584,
30124, Venezia, Italy. Tel: +39 41 796711, Fax: +39
41 796800, EMail: cpbncm01@cidoc.iuav.unive.it
Jose A. Jimenez, Agustin SanchezArcilla
LIM, Catalonia Univ. of Technology, c Gran Capita' s/n,
08034, Barcelona, Spain. Tel: +34 3 4016468, Fax:
+34 3 4017357, EMail: jimenez@etseccpb.upc.es
Marcel J.F. Stive
Delft Hydraulics, NCK, P.O. Box 152, 8300 AD Emmeloord,
The Netherlands. Tel: +31 5274 2922, Fax: +31 5274
3573, EMail: marcel.stive@wldelft.nl
Abstract
Global climatic change is taking place and it
will likely affect Mediterranean deltas and other lowlying
coastal regions in terms of relative sea level rise,
salinity increase and changes in temperature and weather
patterns and of river discharge regime. This will have
serious implications on the natural resources of the
deltaic areas and on the related economic activities.
The MEDDELT project focuses on three northwestern
Mediterranean deltas, the Ebro Delta (Spain), the Rhone
Delta (France) and the Po Delta (Italy) in an attempt
to cover the lack of understanding about their integral
functioning. The main objective is to determine the
vulnerability and response of these deltaic systems
to large scale change phenomena, such that informed
decision making can be made. In order to do this we
make combined use of existing and new field measurements
(accretion, sedimentation, soil formation, coastal
fringe response) and of integrated (physical/ecological)
conceptual models of deltaic behaviour having socio
economics scenarios as boundary conditions. The paper
illustrates the methodological effort which is being
undertaken in order to organize a modelling system
that can be used to conduct budget computations at
various scales with reference to the most significant
processes. The final objective that appears at the
horizon is the implementation of a simulation environment
to handle the evaluation of different scenarios.